Research

Caravaggio, Vocazione di San Matteo, 1599-1610.

Working Papers

Re-evaluating sustainable sovereign debt: a dynamic and econometric evaluation of the suggested new EU fiscal rule, with A. Greiner, B. Owusu, and W. Semmler (link)

The effects of temperature shocks on energy prices and inflation in the Euro Area, with M. M. Pisa and M. Tancioni (link)

Asset price bubbles with low interest rates: not all bubbles are likely to emerge, with J. Bonchi, (link). 

Publications

Long-run scarring effects of meltdowns in a small-scale nonlinear quadratic model, with W. Semmler, Journal of Macroeconomics, 2023. (link)

The misalignment of fiscal multipliers in Italian regions, Regional Studies, 2022. (link)

Supervisory Shocks to Banks’ Credit Standards and Their Macroeconomic Impact, with W. Semmler, Journal of Financial Stability, 2022. (link) 

Work in progress

Errors in temperature forecasts and energy prices, with A. Franconi and M. M. Pisa

Books, Policy & Other Articles

Dove Vanno le Regioni Italiane (Previsioni 2023-2025), with M. Barbini, L. Cappellani, F. De Novellis, L. Di Matteo, and S. Prezioso, SVIMEZ, 2024. (link)

WAO consensus on DEfinition of Food Allergy SEverity (DEFASE), with Arasi et al., World Allergy Organization Journal 16.3 (2023): 100753, 2023. (link)

Crisi Pandemica e Scenari Macroeconomici in un Sistema Finanziario Vulnerabile, with F. Vassalli, Rapporto sullo Stato Sociale, 2022.

Forecasts for Southern and Central-Northern Italy for 2021-2022, with M.M. Pisa and S. Prezioso, SVIMEZ, 2021.  (link)

The digital era: risks and opportunities for employment and job security, with G. Ciccarone, Digital Economy and Education: The European Experience, Emerald Publishing, Bingley, United Kingdom, 2021.

Real-Time Signals Anticipating Credit Booms in Euro-Area Countries, in Advances in Economics: Research at the DED 2019, Sapienza University Press, 2020. (link)